Biblio
"Early Statistical Detection of Anthrax Outbreaks by Tracking Over-the-Counter Medication Sales",
Proceeding of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 99, issue 8, pp. 5237-5240, 2002.
"Statistical Issues and Challenges Associated with Rapid Detection of Bio-terrorist Attacks",
Statistics in Medicine, vol. 24, issue 4, pp. 513-29, 2005.
Download: FienbergShmueli-SIM-2005.pdf (122.99 KB)
"Wavelet-based Monitoring in Modern Biosurveillance",
Working Paper RHS-06-002: Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, 2005.
"Accelerating Statistical Research in Drug Safety",
Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety, vol. 15, issue 9, pp. 687-688, 2006.
Abstract
"Comment on "A Bayesian Dynamic Model for Influenza Surveillance" by Sebastiani, Mandl, Szolovits, Kohane, and Ramoni",
Statistics in Medicine, vol. 25, issue 11, pp. 1821-1822, 2006.
"Current and Potential Statistical Methods for Monitoring Multiple Data Streams for Bio-Surveillance",
Statistical Methods in Counter-Terrorism: Game Theory, Modeling, Syndromic Surveillance, and Biometric Authentication, New York, Springer, 2006.
Abstract
"Data Adaptive Multivariate Control Charts for Routine Health Monitoring",
Syndromic Surveillance Conference (in Advances in Disease Surveillance, 1:53), 2006.
"A Wavelet-based Anomaly Detector for Early Detection of Disease Outbreaks",
Proceedings of the 23rd International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML), Workshop on Machine Learning Algorithms for Surveillance and Event Detection, Pittsburgh, PA, 2006.
Abstract
"Algorithm Combination for Improved Performance in Biosurveillance Systems",
Intelligence and Security Informatics: Biosurveillance, vol. 4506, pp. 91-102, 2007.
"Automated Time Series Forecasting for Biosurveillance",
Statistics in Medicine, vol. 26, issue 22, pp. 4202-4218, 2007.
Abstract
Download: AutomatedForecasting BurkomMurphyShmueli print version.pdf (549.87 KB)
"Evaluating Directionally-Sensitive Multivariate Control Charts with an Application to Biosurveillance",
Working Paper RHS 06-059: Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, 2007.
Abstract
"Simulating Multivariate Syndromic Time Series and Outbreak Signatures",
Working Paper RHS-06-054: Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, 2007.
"Ensemble Forecasting for Disease Outbreak Detection",
23rd AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-08), Chicago, IL, 2008.
Download: AAAI7LotzeT.pdf (61 KB)
"On the relationship between forecast accuracy and detection performance: An application to biosurveillance",
2008 IEEE Conference on Technologies for Homeland Security, Boston, MA, 2008.
Download: ieee.pdf (243.68 KB)
"Preparing Biosurveillance Data for Classic Monitoring",
Advances in Disease Surveillance, vol. 6, 2008.
Abstract
Download: DataPreparation AdvDisSurv.pdf (470.11 KB)
"How does improved forecasting benefit detection? An application to biosurveillance",
International Journal on Forecasting, vol. 25, pp. 467-483, 2009.
Abstract
Download: IJF2009 ForecastingBiosurveillance.pdf (2.19 MB)
"On Generating Multivariate Poisson Data in Management Science Applications",
Working Paper RHS 06-085: Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, 2009.
Abstract
"Simulating and Evaluating Biosurveillance Datasets",
Biosurveillance: Methods and Case Studies: Chapman and Hall, 2010.
Download: Book Chapter (1.93 MB)
"Statistical Challenges Facing Early Outbreak Detection in Biosurveillance",
Technometrics (Special Issue on Anomaly Detection), vol. 52, issue 1, pp. 39-51, 2010.
Abstract
Download: Previous version ("Statistical Challenges in Modern Biosurveillance") (381.03 KB); Published Version (751.05 KB)